Sunday, 1 April 2012

It seems a long time since comments were made. How are we all doing? Live trading? Demo Accounting? Playing ATM poker and not speaking?

A few posts ago Anton noted back-tests work but live/demo trades don't. so far I agree. I have back-tested  many scenarios but when I take my best one to demo account, I loose - so far 20% down.

To gain experience of the ATM I have stuck to one pair. Many times I see the trade heading to the S/L and want to intervene but let it ride to check my interpretation.  

I have also tried the EMA trend filters but so far they give me a poorer result.

I find it hard (impossible) to get a set of variables to provide 5/1 consec wins along with a profit factor above 1.5 (1.57) and with low draw-downs. My DD's rise up to 13%. (but the NP is pretty good (huge), if only it wasn't a back-test!) )

Anyone willing to discuss further??  

Thursday, 22 March 2012

I'm at my 71st back-test and almost feel I'm getting there!! working on AUD/NZD cross (eyed) for the last week all at the high result end.
Will now start to look at the lower end

Wednesday, 21 March 2012

Hi All

I have been dummy trading an optimisation for the AUDNZD cross with a draw down of 2.9%. Yesterday I was up 7 wins out of 9 trades when the robot entered a completely false trade when the price hit the EMA. This stopped out 30 min later for a medium size loss. This game is hard enough without the computer throwing a hissy fit. We were told to allow 20% slippage. Is this through the computer doing its own thing every so often? If so then the software needs to be tweaked to stop it.
I have run optimisations continually since the course and the only currency pair to show a good profit is the AUDNZD cross. We only need a small edge to start making money, but it takes several months for the compounding to kick in. If you use an optimisation with a drawdown greater than 3% then you will probably have a considerable drawdown in the first few weeks. You can see this when you use the backtesting. You need to run the robot for 4 or 5 months to see if you are on to a winner. If anyone else has their robot throwing hissy fits can they post a blog about it so that we can query KTA about it.
May the force be with you!

cheers
Wayne

Sunday, 18 March 2012

Hi Guys
Is there anyone out there having success with the ATM
Would love to hear whats working
Cant say anything im testing that works when run live makes a profit

Thursday, 15 March 2012

Interesting...

Hey guys,

I have started trading live with a small account now. I was watching some of the trades placed by my Holy Grail EA on the AUDNZD, and I have noticed to 2 occasions that it was trading against what I would have traded with my discretionary trading strategies on the Snap Back. One instance happened today where my EA placed a long position, and I received an alert on my email showing a Sniper Short trade was placed by the live trading floor at K2A. I looked at the setup on AUDNZD on the Snap Back, taking into consideration also the trend of the currency on the daily, 4 hourly and hourly timeframes and also the Pivot strategy and also cyclicity, they were all showing for AUDNZD to go short. I know that the EA is essentially for a ranging market, but I guess we have to take the wins as well as the losses. I watch the AUDNZD more closely now than what I used to, and I have had to close some of the EA trades early to avoid further loss on those trades.

Just some of my thoughts on my early experiences with the Holy Grail.

Wednesday, 14 March 2012

Automated Trading Mastery: Hi All...have been trialing an EA on AUDNZD M30 on...

Automated Trading Mastery: Hi All...have been trialing an EA on AUDNZD M30 on...: Hi All...have been trialing an EA on AUDNZD M30 on a very small account - entry envelopes set to 0.8% on 5ema based on H+L/2 and take profit...

Hi Glen
When the price hits the EMA it has to penetrate it  enough to cover the spread or the fill will not triger. This did not happen in your case and you then stopped out.

cheers
wayne

Tuesday, 13 March 2012

Hi All...have been trialing an EA on AUDNZD M30 on a very small account - entry envelopes set to 0.8% on 5ema based on H+L/2 and take profit on the 0.6% envelope - I got this result overnight last night and don't understand it: note: dark purple is 0.8% envelope, light purple is 0.6% envelope, organe is 20/2 bollinger bands:


As I hope you can see the trade triggers right on the 0.8% upper envelope - all good - and then price reverses and hits the 0.6% lower envelope - as far as I can tell that should have been a winner - but instead the EA buys closing out the trade some 12 pips higher right above both the 0.8% and 0.6% envelope and as far as I can tell no where near where any price action has been - I'm not even sure how this is possible - let alone what is wrong with the EA - any thoughts anyone???